World Business StrategiesServing the Global Financial Community since 2000

Main Conference Day 2: Friday 2nd October

08.30 – 09.00: Morning Welcome Coffee

Morning Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

09.00 – 09.45: Pricing Derivatives with a Transformer-Based Approach

  • Motivation: Deep Learning Approximations with Generative AI
  • A Short History of Transformers
  • An Introduction to the Attention Mechanism
  • Transformers are Universal Approximators
  • Regression Transformers
  • Applications

Youssef Elouerkhaoui:

Managing Director, Global Head of Markets Quantitative Analysis, Citi

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

09.45 – 10.30: Multimodal models for asset price evolution

Blanka Horvath:

Associate Professor in Mathematical and Computational Finance, University of Oxford

10.30 – 11.00: Morning Break and Networking Opportunities

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

11.00 – 11.45: Breaking the Trend: How to Avoid Cherry-Picked Signals

Our empirical results show an impressive fit with the pretty complex theoretical Sharpe formula of a trend-following strategy depending on the parameter of the signal, which was derived by Grebenkov and Serror (2014). That empirical fit convinces us that a mean-Réversion process with only one time scale is enough to model, in a pret y precise way, the reality of the trend-following mechanism at the average scale of CTAs and as a consequence, using only one simple EMA, appears optimal to capture the trend. As a consequence, using a complex basket of different complex indicators as signal, do not seem to be so rational or optimal and exposes to the risk of cherry-picking.

Sébastien Valeyre:

Portfolio Manager, Machina Capital

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

11.45 – 12.30: Self-Improving LLM-agents

Nicole Königstein:

Chief Data Scientist, Head of AI & Quant Research, Wyden Capital AG

12.30 – 13.30: Lunch

Afternoon Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

13.30 – 14.15: Topic to be confirmed

Christopher Kantos:

Managing Director and Head of Quantitative Research, Alexandria Technology

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

14.15 – 15.00: Model Risk in the Age of Agentic AI

  • From function validation to policy validation
  • Fragility under perturbations and distribution shift
  • Specification and objective misalignment
  • Adversarial, generative validation frameworks
  • Continuous assurance of non-stationary systems

Harsh Prasad:

Principal and CEO, Qxplain

15.00 – 15.30: Afternoon Break and Networking Opportunities

All Streams

15.30 – 16.15: Presenter & Topic to be confirmed

08.30 – 09.00: Morning Welcome Coffee

Morning Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

09.00 – 09.45: “Stretching Volatility Parametrizations with Random Coefficients”

  • Implied volatility parametrizations are enhanced by randomizing the coefficients
  • New parametrizations are semi-analytical and powerful enough to fit almost all market regimes

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form (SABR, SVI). These representations indirectly impose a model-specific volatility structure on observable market quotes. When the market’s volatility does not follow the parametric model regime, the calibration procedure will fail or lead to extreme parameters, indicating inconsistency. In this talk we propose an arbitrage-free framework for letting the parameters from the parametric implied volatility formula be random. The method enhances the existing parametrizations and enables a significant widening of the spectrum of permissible shapes of implied volatilities while preserving analyticity. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the novel method on real data from short-term index and equity options, where the standard parametrizations fail to capture market dynamics. Our results show that the proposed method is particularly powerful in modeling the implied volatility curves of short expiry options preceding an earnings announcement, when the risk-neutral probability density function exhibits a bimodal form.

Nicola Zaugg:

Quantitative Researcher, LGT Private Banking

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

09.45 – 10.30: Convex Volatility Interpolation (CVI), an arbitrage-free volatility surface fitting methodology

  • Arbitrage-free implied volatility surface fitting posed as a convex quadratic program in variance space
  • Calendar spread no-arbitrage constraints are linear, butterfly no-arbitrage constraints are linearized
  • Model-free, bid-ask-aware, no hyperparameter tuning (consistent across underlyings)
  • Convexity guarantees a unique global optimum, eliminating the calibration fragility of traditional parametric models
  • All expiries fitted jointly. Fit S&P 500 in a fraction of a second

Fabrice Deschâtres:

Founder and CEO, Volptima

10.30 – 11.00: Morning Break and Networking Opportunities

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

11.00 – 11.45: Topic & Presenter to be confirmed

Julien Guyon: 

Professor, ENPC, Institut Polytechnique de Paris & Visiting Associate Professor, NYU Tandon

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

11.45 – 12.30: Topic and Presenter to be confirmed

Vladimir Lucic

Head of Quants, Marex Solutions & Visiting Professor, Imperial College London

12.30 – 13.30: Lunch

Afternoon Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

13.30 – 14.15: Decomposing Hedge Backtesting Results: Insights for Model Validation & Model Optimization

  • Hedge backtesting is widely used in assessing models for pricing and hedging
  • The combination of cloud computing and coding assistants can support more rapid iteration
  • The literature on hedge backtesting as a formal tool for model validation is a little sparse
  • Though the material there suggests a route to formalizing the analysis and bolstering heuristics
  • We’ll pick up there and try to systematize things with the aid of some representative use cases
  • We’ll also touch on tangential issues of model under-specification and historical calibration

Andrew McClelland: 

Director, Quantitative Research, Numerix

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

14.15 – 15.00: Topic and Presenter to be confirmed

15.00 – 15.30: Afternoon Break and Networking Opportunities

08.30 – 09.00: Morning Welcome Coffee

Morning Stream Chair: TBC

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

09.00 – 09.45: Extending  VaR modelling capability  to extreme scenario generation. EVT and copula implications

Vladimir Chorniy:

Managing Director, Head of Risk Model Fundamentals and Research Lab, Senior Technical Lead, BNP Paribas

Dorinel Bastide:

Senior Quantitative Analyst, BNP Paribas

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

09.45 – 10.30: SPEC: A semi-parametric equity-credit model

Most counterparties do not have traded CDS instruments. This poses a challenge for calculating CVA which relies on risk-neutral default probabilities. Here we present a new model for the estimation of credit spreads using equity market data. In contrast to traditional equity-credit models, we take an empirical approach in order to determine a simple functional relationship that can be used in practice for CVA risk management. We find that our approach out-performs models that rely solely on credit data as well as alternative equity-credit models in the literature.

Matthias Arnsdorf:

Global head of Counterparty Credit Risk Quantitative Research, J.P. Morgan

10.30 – 11.00: Morning Break and Networking Opportunities

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

11.00 – 11.45: Graphical Representation for Structured Finance and Payoffs

Jörg Kienitz:

Quant Finance and Machine Learning, Adjunct Prof (UCT), Assistant Prof (BUW), Naturfotograf

Ken Lichtner:

Principle Consultants for Quantitative Methods, m|rig GmbH

Olaf Dreyer:

Principle Consultants for Quantitative Methods, m|rig GmbH

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

11.45 – 12.30: Rethinking Factor Models: Consistent Risk-Return Architecture via Hierarchical Group LASSO

  • Industry-standard factor models (Barra, Bloomberg) are risk-only by design — they provide covariance but not expected returns, forcing a structural disconnect between risk and return inputs to the optimizer
  • When expected returns are not spanned by the risk model’s factor structure, the optimizer treats the unpriced component as free alpha, systematically underestimating portfolio risk
  • The MATF framework resolves this by deriving both expected returns and covariance from a single sparse factor loading matrix estimated across eight tradable risk premia
  • The underlying HCGL estimator — with sign constraints, prior-centered regularisation, and integrated covariance assembly — is released as the open-source Python package factorlasso
  • Factor-structured assumptions reduce frontier estimation uncertainty and propagate scenario stress coherently across all assets through a single factor-level shift
  • This presentation is based on:
  1. Sepp, A., I. Ossa, and M.A. Kastenholz (2026), “Robust Optimization of Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation for Multi-Asset Portfolios,” The Journal of Portfolio Management, 52(4), 86–120
  2. Sepp, A., E. Hansen, and M.A. Kastenholz (2026), “Capital Market Assumptions and Strategic Asset Allocation Using Multi-Asset Tradable Factors,” under revision at The Journal of Portfolio Management

Artur Sepp:

Head Quant, LGT Bank

12.30 – 13.30: Lunch

Afternoon Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

13.30 – 14.15: FRTB IMA: Quo Vadis? Internal Models at Crossroads: Proposing simple solutions to revive IMA adoption

Eduardo Epperlein:

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

14.15 – 15.00: Topic to be confirmed

Maurizio Garro:

CFO and Head of Business Development, My Alpha investment FZCO

15.00 – 15.30: Afternoon Break and Networking Opportunities

  • Discount Structure
  • Super early bird discount
    20% until 29th May 2026

  • Early bird discount
    15% until 17th July 2026

  • Early bird discount
    10% until 14th August 2026

  • Special Offer
    When two colleagues attend the 3rd goes free!

  • 70% Academic Discount
    (FULL-TIME Students Only)

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