World Business StrategiesServing the Global Financial Community since 2000

Main Conference Day 2: Friday 2nd October

08.30 – 09.00: Morning Welcome Coffee

Morning Stream Chair:

Nikolai Nowaczyk:

Quantitative Analytics, Director, NatWest Group

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

09.00 – 09.45: “Vibe Coding xVA?”

Nikolai Nowaczyk:

Quantitative Analytics, Director, NatWest Group

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

09.45 – 10.30: Multimodal models for asset price evolution

Blanka Horvath:

Associate Professor in Mathematical and Computational Finance, University of Oxford

10.30 – 11.00: Morning Break and Networking Opportunities

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

11.00 – 11.45: Breaking the Trend: How to Avoid Cherry-Picked Signals

Our empirical results show an impressive fit with the pretty complex theoretical Sharpe formula of a trend-following strategy depending on the parameter of the signal, which was derived by Grebenkov and Serror (2014). That empirical fit convinces us that a mean-Réversion process with only one time scale is enough to model, in a pret y precise way, the reality of the trend-following mechanism at the average scale of CTAs and as a consequence, using only one simple EMA, appears optimal to capture the trend. As a consequence, using a complex basket of different complex indicators as signal, do not seem to be so rational or optimal and exposes to the risk of cherry-picking.

Sébastien Valeyre:

Portfolio Manager, Machina Capital

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

11.45 – 12.30: Self-Improving LLM-agents

Nicole Königstein:

Chief Data Scientist, Head of AI & Quant Research, Wyden Capital AG

12.30 – 13.30: Lunch

Afternoon Stream Chair:

Christopher Kantos:

Managing Director and Head of Quantitative Research, Alexandria Technology

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

13.30 – 14.15: Time Series Foundation Models

This session covers the emerging landscape of time series foundation models — a new class of AI systems designed to understand and reason over sequential, temporal data at scale.

We’ll cover what they are, why they matter, and what drives their development over traditional task-specific forecasting approaches. We’ll look at real-world examples including Delphyne, a time series foundation model we trained from scratch, before closing with a look at where the field still falls short and where future research can go.

Achintya Gopal:

AI Engineer, Millennium

AI / LLMs / ML Stream

14.15 – 15.00: Model Risk in the Age of Agentic AI

  • From function validation to policy validation
  • Fragility under perturbations and distribution shift
  • Specification and objective misalignment
  • Adversarial, generative validation frameworks
  • Continuous assurance of non-stationary systems

Harsh Prasad:

Principal and CEO, Qxplain

15.00 – 15.30: Afternoon Break and Networking Opportunities

All Streams

15.30 – 16.15: “Sports Trading as a Quantitative Market: Games, Signals & Equilibria”

  • Market microstructure, pricing inefficiencies, liquidity dynamics, and parallels with traditional financial markets.
  • Machine Learning for Prediction & Pricing – Forecasting outcomes, probability estimation, feature engineering, and turning predictive signals into trading decisions.
  • AI & LLMs for Research and Trading Operations – Automated analysis, information extraction, trader productivity, and decision-support systems.
  • Building Scalable Trading Systems – Data infrastructure, model deployment, execution, monitoring, and risk management.
  • The Future of Quantitative Sports Trading – Agentic AI, real-time decision-making, reinforcement learning, and emerging business opportunities.

Maurizio Garro:

CFO and Head of Business Development, My Alpha investment FZCO

08.30 – 09.00: Morning Welcome Coffee

Morning Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

09.00 – 09.45: “Stretching Volatility Parametrizations with Random Coefficients”

  • Implied volatility parametrizations are enhanced by randomizing the coefficients
  • New parametrizations are semi-analytical and powerful enough to fit almost all market regimes

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form (SABR, SVI). These representations indirectly impose a model-specific volatility structure on observable market quotes. When the market’s volatility does not follow the parametric model regime, the calibration procedure will fail or lead to extreme parameters, indicating inconsistency. In this talk we propose an arbitrage-free framework for letting the parameters from the parametric implied volatility formula be random. The method enhances the existing parametrizations and enables a significant widening of the spectrum of permissible shapes of implied volatilities while preserving analyticity. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the novel method on real data from short-term index and equity options, where the standard parametrizations fail to capture market dynamics. Our results show that the proposed method is particularly powerful in modeling the implied volatility curves of short expiry options preceding an earnings announcement, when the risk-neutral probability density function exhibits a bimodal form.

Nicola Zaugg:

Quantitative Researcher, LGT Private Banking

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

09.45 – 10.30: Convex Volatility Interpolation (CVI), an arbitrage-free volatility surface fitting methodology

  • Arbitrage-free implied volatility surface fitting posed as a convex quadratic program in variance space
  • Calendar spread no-arbitrage constraints are linear, butterfly no-arbitrage constraints are linearized
  • Model-free, bid-ask-aware, no hyperparameter tuning (consistent across underlyings)
  • Convexity guarantees a unique global optimum, eliminating the calibration fragility of traditional parametric models
  • All expiries fitted jointly. Fit S&P 500 in a fraction of a second

Fabrice Deschâtres:

Founder and CEO, Volptima

10.30 – 11.00: Morning Break and Networking Opportunities

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

11.00 – 11.45: Smooth Local Vol Construction: The case of American options on stocks with discrete dividends.

Leif Andersen:

Global Co-Head Of Quantitative Strategies Group, Bank of America

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

11.45 – 12.30: Unbiased Monte Carlo Greeks for Discontinuous Payoffs — No Smoothing Required

Pathwise differentiation is the standard method for computing Monte Carlo Greeks, but it fails at discontinuities: barriers, autocall triggers, digital coupons, and knock-out conditions all produce zero or biased sensitivities. The industry workaround — manual insertion of smoothing functions — requires per-product calibration, introduces systematic bias, and is a persistent source of model risk.

We present a correction method that restores unbiased Greeks without any smoothing. For each discontinuity indicator, a one-dimensional Newton root-finding locates the boundary in the normal-random space, and a local payoff jump is combined with the standard normal density to produce an exact correction term. The method is model independent (GBM, Heston, Hull-White, LMM), product-independent (any payoff expressible as a composition of indicator functions), and fully automatic — no manual parameter tuning is needed.

Benchmarks on multi-asset autocallables with weekly observations show that all Greeks match bump-and-revalue within Monte Carlo noise, at a cost of 6–12 additional kernel replaysCper indicator per path. We demonstrate convergence on barrier options (vs analytic), Phoenix autocallables, and two-asset worst-of structures.

Evgeny Lakshtanov:

Traded Risk Model Validation Validator, Standard Chartered

12.30 – 13.30: Lunch

Afternoon Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

13.30 – 14.15: Hysteretic Stochastic Volatility

Julien Guyon: 

Professor, ENPC, Institut Polytechnique de Paris & Visiting Associate Professor, NYU Tandon

Volatility / Options / Monte Carlo Stream

14.15 – 15.00: Arbitrage-Free Volatility in Delta Space: Abel ODEs and Surface Interpolation

In this talk, we present recent results on the construction and interpolation of arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces.

The first part focuses on a characterization of differentiable, arbitrage-free implied volatility slices. Using Fukasawa’s normalizing volatility transforms (NVTs), we show that every such slice satisfies a first-order Abel ODE. We then provide numerical examples illustrating how this characterization can be used to construct and interpolate implied volatility smiles across strikes.

In the second part, we study the interpolation of volatility slices across expiries. We establish a connection between calendar and strike arbitrage in NVT coordinates and discuss how this relationship can be used to construct arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces.

Vladimir Lucic

Head of Quants at Marex Solutions, Visiting Professor at Imperial College London

15.00 – 15.30: Afternoon Break and Networking Opportunities

15.30 – 16.15: “Sports Trading as a Quantitative Market: Games, Signals & Equilibria”

  • Market microstructure, pricing inefficiencies, liquidity dynamics, and parallels with traditional financial markets.
  • Machine Learning for Prediction & Pricing – Forecasting outcomes, probability estimation, feature engineering, and turning predictive signals into trading decisions.
  • AI & LLMs for Research and Trading Operations – Automated analysis, information extraction, trader productivity, and decision-support systems.
  • Building Scalable Trading Systems – Data infrastructure, model deployment, execution, monitoring, and risk management.
  • The Future of Quantitative Sports Trading – Agentic AI, real-time decision-making, reinforcement learning, and emerging business opportunities.

Maurizio Garro:

CFO and Head of Business Development, My Alpha investment FZCO

08.30 – 09.00: Morning Welcome Coffee

Morning Stream Chair:

Marco Bianchetti:

Head of Market Risk Methodologies, Intesa Sanpaolo

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

09.00 – 09.45: Equity backfilling for the future

Eduardo Epperlein:

MD, Senior Technical Advisor: Nomura International PLC

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

09.45 – 10.30: Charging for Liquidity

Liquidity has moved from a background constraint to a front-line driver of derivatives pricing and risk management. As LCR and related requirements bite, banks need a clear way to charge for liquidity alongside capital, funding and margin costs.

This talk explains how liquidity requirements are calculated, why they matter for derivatives desks, and how liquidity costs can be framed as a valuation adjustment linked to FVA and MVA.

Matthias Arnsdorf:

MD, Global Head of Counterparty Credit, Market Risk & Treasury Modelling, JPMorgan

10.30 – 11.00: Morning Break and Networking Opportunities

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

11.00 – 11.45: Graphical Representation for Structured Finance and Payoffs

Jörg Kienitz:

Quant Finance and Machine Learning, Adjunct Prof (UCT), Assistant Prof (BUW), Naturfotograf

Ken Lichtner:

Principle Consultants for Quantitative Methods, m|rig GmbH

Olaf Dreyer:

Principle Consultants for Quantitative Methods, m|rig GmbH

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

11.45 – 12.30: Learning the Exact SABR Model

  • The pricing model calibration bottleneck
  • Theoretical framework: why SABR ?
  • Learning SABR with DNNs
  • Conclusions and perspectives

The SABR model is a cornerstone of interest rate volatility modeling, but its practical application relies heavily on the analytical approximation by Hagan et al., whose accuracy deteriorates for high volatility, long maturities, and out-of-the-money options, admitting arbitrage. While machine learning approaches have been proposed to overcome these limitations, they have often been limited by simplified SABR dynamics or a lack of systematic validation against the full spectrum of market conditions.
We develop a DNN SABR, a specialized Deep Neural Network (DNN) architecture that learns the true SABR stochastic dynamics using an very large training dataset (more than 200 million points) of interest rate Cap/Floor volatility surfaces, including very long maturities (30Y) and extreme strikes consistently with market quotations. Our dataset is obtained via high-precision unbiased Monte Carlo simulation of a special scaled shifted-SABR stochastic dynamics, which allows dimensional reduction without any loss of generality. Our SABR DNN provides arbitrage-free calibration of real market volatility surfaces and Cap/Floor prices for any maturity and strike with negligible computational effort and without retraining across business dates. Our results fully address the gaps in the previous machine learning SABR literature in a systematic and self-consistent way, and can be extended to cover any interest rate European options in different rate tenors and currencies, thus establishing a comprehensive functional SABR framework that can be adopted for daily trading and risk management activities.

Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2510.10343

Marco Bianchetti:

Head of Market Risk Methodologies, Intesa Sanpaolo

12.30 – 13.30: Lunch

Afternoon Stream Chair:

To be confirmed

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

13.30 – 14.15: Extending  VaR modelling capability  to extreme scenario generation. EVT and copula implications

Vladimir Chorniy:

Managing Director, Head of Risk Model Fundamentals and Research Lab, Senior Technical Lead, BNP Paribas

Dorinel Bastide:

Senior Quantitative Analyst, BNP Paribas

Modelling / xVA / Regs Stream

14.15 – 15.00: Quantifying Narratives: Applications of Large Language Models for Fed Sentiment Drift Modeling

Ivan Saroka:

Senior Quantitative Analyst, Schonfeld

15.00 – 15.30: Afternoon Break and Networking Opportunities

15.30 – 16.15: “Sports Trading as a Quantitative Market: Games, Signals & Equilibria”

  • Market microstructure, pricing inefficiencies, liquidity dynamics, and parallels with traditional financial markets.
  • Machine Learning for Prediction & Pricing – Forecasting outcomes, probability estimation, feature engineering, and turning predictive signals into trading decisions.
  • AI & LLMs for Research and Trading Operations – Automated analysis, information extraction, trader productivity, and decision-support systems.
  • Building Scalable Trading Systems – Data infrastructure, model deployment, execution, monitoring, and risk management.
  • The Future of Quantitative Sports Trading – Agentic AI, real-time decision-making, reinforcement learning, and emerging business opportunities.

Maurizio Garro:

CFO and Head of Business Development, My Alpha investment FZCO

  • Discount Structure
  • Special Offer
    When two colleagues attend the 3rd goes free!

  • 70% Academic Discount
    (FULL-TIME Students Only)

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