Workshop Day - World Business Strategies

Workshop Day: Wednesday 19th October:

The workshop day is complimentary to all conference attendees, numbers limited so first come first served.

Machine Learning Models for the Interest Rates: 13.30 – 17.30

Session One: Machine Learning Architecture (VAE, VEGD) – 13:30 to 15:00

Variational autoencoder architecture (VAE)
- The roles of encoder and decoder, latent space
- Deliberately introducing uncertainty in reconstruction
- Loss function and optimization loop
- Reconstruction with VAE
- Generation with VAE
Variational encoder-generator-decoder architecture (VEGD)
- The role of generator between encoder and decoder
- Generator parameterization
- Generator training
Hands-on examples with Python
- VAE for handwritten digits from the MNIST dataset
- VEGD for arithmetic on handwritten digits from the MNIST dataset

Coffee Break – 15:00 to 15:30

Session Two: Application to Interest Rate Models – 15:30 to 17:00

Principles of interest rate model construction
- Stochastic drivers and state variables
- Historical calibration in P-measure
- Arbitrage-free calibration in Q-measure
- Three types of interest rate models and connection between them
One factor short rate models
- SDE models: HW, BK, CIR++
- Machine learning (VEGD) models
Two factor short rate models
- SDE models: HW2F/G2, CIR2++
- Machine learning (VEGD) models
Forward rate models
- Single rate SDE models: Black, SABR
- Forward curve SDE models: HJM, LMM, SABR-LMM
- Machine learning (VEGD) models
Curve basis models
- Static models: Nelson-Siegel (NS), Nelson-Siegel-Svensson (NSS)
- SDE models: AFNS, Factor HJM
- Machine learning (VAE) counterparts of static models
- Machine learning (VEGD) counterparts of SDE models
Hands-on examples with Python
- VAE for the yield curve with one and two dimensional latent space
- Historical VEGD model training in P-measure
- Arbitrage-free market implied VEGD model calibration in Q-measure

Q&A – 17:00 to 17:30

Alexander Sokol:

Executive Chairman and Head of Quant Research, CompatibL

Alexander Sokol: Executive Chairman and Head of Quant Research, CompatibL

Alexander Sokol is the founder, Executive Chairman, and Head of Quant Research at CompatibL, a trading and risk technology company. He is also the co-founder of Numerix, where he served as CTO from 1996 to 2003, and the co-founder of Duality Group, where he served as CTO from 2017 to 2020.

Alexander won the Quant of the Year Award in 2018 together with Leif Andersen and Michael Pykhtin, for their joint work revealing the true scale of the settlement gap risk that remains even in the presence of initial margin. Alexander’s other notable research contributions include systemic wrong-way risk (with Michael Pykhtin, Risk Magazine), joint measure models, and the local price of risk (with John Hull and Alan White, Risk Magazine), and mean reversion skew (Risk Books, 2014).

Alexander earned his BA from the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology at the age of 18, and a PhD from the L. D. Landau Institute for Theoretical Physics at the age of 22. He was the winner of the USSR Academy of Sciences Medal for Best Student Research of the Year in 1988.

Understanding ESG & Climate Risk: 13.30 – 17.30

Understand key ESG concepts and the considerations for financials & corporate investors
Determine risks & opportunities for both internal and external stakeholders
Understand why organisations measure and report ESG information.

Understand and connect the challenges faced by Financials, Corporates & Sovereigns
Identify ESG risks across Financials & Corporates
Stakeholder expectations and their impact on risk identification and business imperatives
Evaluate ESG maturity, the range of risks, and actual performance

Interpret & analyse a range of ESG frameworks, and how risks are captured
Understand how the IFRS is developing common ESG frameworks via the ISSB
Understand how ESG scorecards are built for Financials & Corporates
Understand the impact from a Conduct Risk perspective

Recognise and explain voluntary and mandatory standards and regulations that govern ESG reporting and disclosures
Understand the EU taxonomy for sustainable activities and how the EU GAR and EU BTAR will evolve
Introduction to Climate Risk Stress Testing & Climate Risk Management, and the correlation to ESG

Navin Rauniar:

Advisory Partner focusing on LIBOR, ESG, Climate Risk & TCFD, HSBC

Navin Rauniar: Advisory Partner focusing on LIBOR, ESG, Climate Risk & TCFD, HSBC

Navin is a Risk Director with 17 years’ experience in advising the sell side on the delivery of prudential regulation such as IBOR Transition, FRTB, IRRBB, Basel III, CRR 2 and CRD V. Navin is currently leading the IBOR workstream for a Tier One bank.

Prior to this, he worked as a Senior Manager at a leading global advisory firm, where he led the analysis of the impact of the IBOR Transition on financial institutions. Additionally, Navin has spent 15 years in the industry working in global run-the-bank and change-the-bank roles for Credit Suisse, RBS, Commerzbank and JP Morgan across Front Office, Risk and Operations.

Navin is a steering committee member of the Professional Risk Managers Association where he represents the Risk Management industry on regulatory initiatives, mentoring of capital markets professionals, and a frequent speaker at banking & thought leadership events.